Climate Prediction Center Says Weak El Niño Likely Through Summer
Today the Climate Prediction Center, part of NOAA/National Weather Service, reported a weak El Niño is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere through the summer of 2019 (65% chance) and possibly through fall (50-55% chance).
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), El Niño is characterized by unusually warm ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific, as opposed to La Niña, which is characterized by unusually cold ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific. El Niño is an oscillation of the ocean-atmosphere system in the tropical Pacific having important consequences for weather around the globe.
Among these consequences are increased rainfall and cooler temps across the southern tier of the US; warmer and drier conditions to the northwest United States and cooler, wetter conditions to the Plains. However, experts say El Niño doesn't typically last through the summer. And the weather patterns obviously depend on the strength of El Niño as well, so we'll have to wait and see how agricultural areas will be impacted.
Meanwhile, reports of road closures in South Dakota and Nebraska are numerous this morning as they deal with the second major "bomb cyclone" event in the last month. Some producers haven't even been able to total their losses from the last storm, before this one hit. So our continued thoughts and prayers go to those folks affected.